Report Period: May 13 โ 20, 2026
Coverage: Germany | United Kingdom | France | Italy
๐ Core Insights (Excerpt)
๐ EU Parliament Adopts New Steel Safeguard โ 606โ16 Vote โ On May 19, the European Parliament voted overwhelmingly to adopt the new steel import regime. The regulation cuts duty-free import quotas by 47% to 18.3 million tonnes per year and doubles the out-of-quota tariff to 50% from July 1. The legislative pathway is now clear. Awaiting formal Council approval before entry into force. Ukraine will receive special status in country-specific quota allocation.
๐ Italian Long Products Surge โ Rebar Hits โฌ700โ710/t EXW โ Italian rebar transaction prices have surged to โฌ700โ710/t EXW, a cumulative increase of approximately โฌ160โ170/t since early March. The dramatic rise is driven by genuine cost-push pressure from soaring scrap, energy, and transport costs, combined with supply constraints as two domestic re-rollers remain offline with no clear restart timeline. The market remains at an impasse as buyers resist the full pass-through of cost increases.
๐ European HRC Prices Drift Lower Despite Policy Victory โ Fastmarkets’ daily HRC index ex-works Northern Europe was calculated at โฌ695.00/t on May 19, down โฌ0.83 week-on-week and โฌ15.83 month-on-month. Some mills with unsold Q2 tonnages have been forced to move material at โฌ680โ700/t EXW โ below the psychological โฌ700/t threshold. July-delivery offers are being tested at โฌ715โ735/t EXW, but buyer appetites remain limited despite the clear policy tailwind.
๐ฐ Price Snapshot (Selected)
| Product | This Week Price | WoW Change |
|---|---|---|
| HRC EXW N. Europe (Fastmarkets, May 19) | โฌ695.00/t | โผ -โฌ0.83/t |
| HRC workable price range N. Europe | โฌ680โ720/t | Lower bound โผ |
| Italy Rebar EXW (transaction, incl. size extras) | โฌ700โ710/t | โฒ from โฌ540 in March |
| Iron Ore 62% CFR China (May 15 high) | $114.7/t (12-month high) | โฒ then โผ |
| Drewry World Container Index (May 14) | $2,553/40ft | โฒ +12% WoW |
๐ก๏ธ Policy & Logistics Alert
Ukraine Special Status Promised: The new EU regulation explicitly requires the Commission to consider Ukraine’s situation when allocating country quotas. MEP Karin Karlsbro stated that “Ukraine must not be punished by EU measures while its steel industry is under direct Russian attack,” promising special status. This creates a competitive advantage for Ukrainian-origin steel.
CBAM Weekly Dynamic Pricing from 2027: The EU Commission has proposed moving CBAM certificate pricing from quarterly to weekly from 2027, anchored to EU ETS spot allowances. 2026 remains on quarterly averaging. Importers should prepare for increased cost forecasting complexity.
Container Freight Costs Accelerate:ย The Drewry World Container Index surged 12% to $2,553 per 40ft on May 14, with Shanghai – Genoa rates jumping to $3,500โ$4,500 per 40ft.
Hamburg Port Deterioration: HHLA reported Q1 throughput at Hamburg fell 5.3% year-on-year, with EBIT down 6.3%. The port is rated “Congested” with a 5.8-day average delay. Bremerhaven, Wilhelmshaven, and Dunkirk continue to offer more reliable alternatives.
๐ก Sample Actionable Advice
For Procurement Managers:
โ
Lock in Q3 HRC volumes now at July delivery offers of โฌ715โ735/t EXW. The EU Parliament vote has removed the final policy uncertainty. The gap between July forward offers and current spot prices has narrowed to just โฌ20โ40/t โ significantly narrower than the โฌ30โ50/t gap seen in late April. As the July 1 deadline approaches and quota exhaustion risk becomes tangible, this gap is likely to close from the forward side upward. Prioritise CRC and HDG where price resilience is stronger and import alternatives are more limited.
For Export Sales Managers:
โ
Target the Italian long products market aggressively. Italian rebar transaction prices have reached โฌ700โ710/t EXW, mesh is at โฌ510โ520/t, and wire rod is rising despite weaker demand. With two domestic re-rollers offline and no clear restart timeline, supply constraints are genuine. Ukrainian rebar at competitive CPT Baltic prices and Algerian rebar at competitive CFR prices both offer compelling value. Ukrainian-origin steel will benefit from special quota status under the new regulation.
This free sample represents a fraction of the full weekly report and accompanying Week-on-Week Deep Dive Analysis. Subscribers receive:
- Complete price tables for Germany, France, Italy, and the UK with week-on-week comparisons
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- Detailed policy and trade risk analysis with legislative timelines for both EU and UK
- Supply and inventory dynamics including port congestion metrics, mill production data, and outage tracking
- Dedicated action advice for both procurement and sales managers
- Week-on-Week Deep Dive Analysis comparing the latest seven days to the prior period across seven analytical dimensions
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